Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.865062 11.011227 12.268880 13.756778 15.476036 17.408581 19.756959
2025-11-16 8.184606 9.663271 11.404735 13.626459 16.413363 19.830852 24.396955
2025-11-23 7.099337 8.692836 10.658773 13.297498 16.800617 21.370248 27.915603
2025-11-30 6.409889 8.081992 10.224166 13.222656 17.398232 23.142682 31.892040
2025-12-07 5.713896 7.370346 9.556024 12.719091 17.297020 23.876382 34.427731
2025-12-14 5.102977 6.706206 8.873717 12.098865 16.921156 24.116327 36.186740
2025-12-21 4.703544 6.291657 8.489123 11.847623 17.031433 25.058054 39.147473
2025-12-28 4.759979 6.513067 9.012372 12.967912 19.334936 29.696368 49.048562
2026-01-04 4.575983 6.369419 8.984968 13.237143 20.309293 32.280807 55.791765
2026-01-11 4.261717 6.009089 8.601689 12.903998 20.242759 33.054724 59.242604
2026-01-18 4.138042 5.924508 8.629844 13.231048 21.323537 35.995546 67.517402
2026-01-25 3.908717 5.661798 8.358492 13.033031 21.453209 37.182068 72.354634
2026-02-01 3.683754 5.399883 8.082493 12.824866 21.582554 38.464932 77.869676
2026-02-08 3.493747 5.181893 7.863079 12.696726 21.849455 40.067876 84.518792
2026-02-15 3.288493 4.926206 7.562668 12.395993 21.747993 40.890279 89.464876
2026-02-22 3.143692 4.759769 7.399482 12.327364 22.089881 42.697722 97.342113
2026-03-01 2.941895 4.488045 7.039786 11.865688 21.590107 42.583042 100.085087
2026-03-08 2.737289 4.201571 6.638567 11.296522 20.814313 41.745395 100.653836
2026-03-15 2.603472 4.027629 6.423508 11.065794 20.724561 42.485927 105.965240
2026-03-22 2.675949 4.207325 6.841741 12.093859 23.446347 50.382784 135.356631
2026-03-29 2.624472 4.169351 6.865392 12.340644 24.475154 54.276932 153.446994
2026-04-05 2.498151 3.993784 6.626850 12.035258 24.208519 54.756423 159.915500
2026-04-12 2.462121 3.976187 6.679507 12.335058 25.389353 59.329670 182.984879